My fellow gamblers, good evening. Another fine week going 3-1-1 and bringing me back to a 60% win rate for the season. I'm feeling great about my feel for the NFL right now and I hope you're making money right along with me. If you bet $20 a game you're up a little over $100. If you bet $50 a game you're up a little over $250. Let's keep it going.
I had this feeling I've been nailing the TNF games this year, so I went to look at my record. I'm 5-1 although granted two of those wins include the first leg of a teaser, but both of those teasers came in. I always feel particularly proud of calling the prime time games because I know those lines are harder since there's going to be more action on them. It feels good to kick the week off right and have that first win in your pocket moving into the weekend.
Season Record: Overall (21-14-1) Spread (12-8-1) Total (4-2) Teaser (5-4)
JAX(+9.5)/WAS(+9) - I'm going to keep that teaser magic going this Thursday with Jacksonville. The only reason I'm not taking the +3.5 is that the home teams have been doing quite well on the short weeks so far. That being said, neither of these teams deserve to be favored by more than a field goal, much less more than a touchdown. Both of these teams are 2-1 over the last three after a tough start.
Jacksonville's last three were wins over the Colts and Bears with a loss to the Raiders. Tennessee's last three were wins over Miami and Cleveland with a loss to the Colts. Comparing those recent schedules I really think the Jaguars look better, but again, short weeks are favoring the home team, so I'll take the teased line. As for Washington, they had a close road loss last week at Detroit, a place the Eagles also lost, but prior to that had won four straight.
Cincinnati won at home against the Browns last week, but the previous five weeks when facing professional teams they were 1-4. I would argue the Bengals were playing much harder opponents over that stretch and the travel to London can make things a little wonky, but I'm willing to stake my 2-0 record on the London games so far that the Redskins keep this close.
KC(-3) - I know I don't normally post Sunday games at this point, but you need to grab this line now because by Sunday this wil be KC (-3.5) or even (-4). Jump on it while you can. Indianapolis is a train wreck right now especially on the offensive line and Kansas City just got done handling Oakland and New Orleans.
Welcome! My name is Chris Spooner. I am an overly-passionate Dolphins fan who has many opinions about his team, and the sports landscape as a whole. I hope you enjoy reading them as much as I enjoy voicing them.