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NFL Week 13 Weekend Gambling Picks

12/3/2016

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My fellow gamblers, good evening. I'm happy that I can at least occasionally sidestep the perils and pitfalls that Vegas lays out for the casual better. I knew the Cowboy line was too low. I can't take too much credit after all since I didn't have the nerve to bet the Vikings, but as I've said before, gambling is as much about winning money as it is avoiding losing money. We move on to the rest of Week 13 to see how lucky we can continue to be.

​Season Record: Overall (40-23-2) Spread (23-12-2) Total (8-3) Teaser (9-8)​
Last two weeks(8-3-1)

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NFL Week 13 Thursday Gambling Picks

12/1/2016

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My fellow gamblers, good evening. I'm loving the 8-3-1 streak that we're on over the last two weeks. I have every plan to keep making bookies sorry they're taking our action, but first some analysis that I've been promising for a while. I did a mini tutorial on teaser bets at the start of the year, so let's break down how mine have been doing. I always encourage people who take gambling seriously to keep careful track of which bets of theirs are winning money and to do critical self reflection so they can decide whether they're investing their money wisely. If you think I take NFL numbers seriously, you should see my spreadsheet setup for my poker earnings.

I'm going to go week by week and list how the teaser did and then how the included games would have gone if I'd just bet them straight up.

              Teaser            Spread
Week 1: (1-0)                (1-1)
Week 2: (0-1)               (1-1)
Week 3: (1-0)               (2-0)
Week 4: (1-0)               (2-0)
Week 5: (1-1)                (3-1)
Week 6: (0-2)              (2-2)
Week 7: (1-0)               (1-1)
Week 8: (0-1)               (1-1)
Week 9: (0-1)               (1-1)
Week 10: (0-1)              (1-1)
Week 11: (1-1)                (1-3)
Week 12: (3-0)             (2-4)
Final:(9-8 52.9%)          (18-16 52.9%)

Well, as it turns out the win percentages either way are exactly even. That's not the result I was expecting. I'll update these numbers again at the end of the season, but for now, let's talk about tonight.

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    Welcome! My name is Chris Spooner. I am an overly-passionate Dolphins fan who has many opinions about his team, and the sports landscape as a whole. I hope you enjoy reading them as much as I enjoy voicing them.

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