Week 11 Thursday Night Gambling

Turns out me post amazing wedding and me post quiet reflection both result in 2-2 weeks. I'm disappointed in my teaser play so far, normally they make me a fair amount of money. I'm making up for it with the totals that I've nailed five in a row with. That's exactly where I'm going tonight too. Keep an eye out for the Saturday post, because unlike the last two weeks, I've got a lot more than four picks coming your way this weekend.

Season Record: Overall (31-20-1) Spread (19-11-1) Total (7-2) Teaser (5-7)
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NO/CAR u52.5 - I know you're expecting me to argue Drew Brees on the road, but aside from week 2 at New York, the Saints offense has been similar at home and on the road. The Saints offense overall though has been slowing down recently. They've only broken 25 once in the last four games. Their defense has been compensating by picking up, not allowing more than 27 in any game over the last four. Carolina's offense still can't find its rhythm, they do get their injured center back tonight most likely, but still haven't been lighting it up over the last month. Thursday night games as a whole are tricky to get high scoring in. Only 4 have broken 50 points this season. I expect this to be a tight divisional game and I'm hoping my surprising record on totals continues to climb.