NFL Week 13 Weekend Gambling Picks

My fellow gamblers, good evening. I'm happy that I can at least occasionally sidestep the perils and pitfalls that Vegas lays out for the casual better. I knew the Cowboy line was too low. I can't take too much credit after all since I didn't have the nerve to bet the Vikings, but as I've said before, gambling is as much about winning money as it is avoiding losing money. We move on to the rest of Week 13 to see how lucky we can continue to be.

​Season Record: Overall (40-23-2) Spread (23-12-2) Total (8-3) Teaser (9-8)​
Last two weeks(8-3-1)

TB(+3.5) - Tampa Bay has been on a roll lately. Beating the Bears by 26 is nothing special, but then beating the Chiefs in KC(my only loss that week) and then a solid win against the Seahawks last week all make for an impressive streak. In fact, their only losses over the last seven weeks have been against the Raiders and the Falcons, no shame there. San Diego has some good wins themselves over the last couple months, but they're 2-2 in their last four, so I'll take the hotter team plus the three and the hook


NYG(+6) - Speaking of teams on a roll getting points on the road, the Giants have won six in a row. Now you can certainly make an argument about the quality of their competition, but you can make the same case about the two wins the Steelers have over the same stretch. The Browns and the Colts aren't exactly the cream of the crop, so I'll take the Giants on strength of schedule, record, and motivation given that they need the win to keep pace with the Cowboys. 

ARI(-2) - This was a matchup that had me initially leaning the other way until I looked into it. Turns out there are some really slanted home/away records going on here. Over their last six, Arizona is 2-3-1. The three losses are their three road games, their only wins are at home. Over their last six, Washington is 3-2-1. The two losses are their two road games, their only wins are at home. Arizona is the home team here, so as long as this line is below (-3) I'll take the Cardinals.

IND/NYJ u48.5 - This is another one I'm looking heavily at the home/away split. The highest total the Jets have hit at home all year is 45. If you had blindly bet the under on all MNF games this year, you'd be 8-4-1. The Colts have been inconsistent this year, and I'll just hope that if the Jets can hold the Patriots to 22, they can do the same to Indi.

CHI(+8)/SEA(-1) - When I can get 8 points for a home team playing a 1-10 team, I will. I understand it's Chicago, but as long as it's in Soldier Field, they'll keep it close. They're 1st and goal possession at the end of the game last week nearly won it for them and cost me a teaser, but with a (+8) I'll happily root for them to once again fail in that spot. Carolina shouldn't have been as close as they were last week against Oakland, but they still did fight back in that fourth quarter to make it close. To protect against that and some the fact that the Seahawks haven't really been putting teams away lately, I'll take the (-1)