NFL Week 14 Weekend Gambling Picks

One thing that is awesome about teasers is when the line is in jeopardy, but you're safe. Having Oakland(+9) during the final drive on Thursday night made it quite a relaxing affair while people who bet the spread were biting their finger nails to the nubs when Oakland crossed into Chiefs territory. It's been nice hitting my teasers again. In the past they've always been a strength of mine and it's good to return to form there.

​Season Record: Overall (43-25-2) Spread (25-13-2) Total (8-4) Teaser (10-8)​ Last three weeks(11-5-1)
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Pending Teaser OAK(+9)/ATL(pk) - While the rest of you were nervous during the last Oakland drive, I was relaxed as could be. I still like Atlanta for the same reasons I did on Thursday. The LA Rams couldn't even manage a stout effort immediately after their coach got an extension. Atlanta has shown some weaknesses on the road, but particularly after dropping a game last week, they know they have to get right back on top of things in order to stay ahead of the surging Bucs.
SD(+7.5)/DET(-2) - Carolina isn't as bad as they looked last week, but Luke Kuechly seems like he's going to be out again. I'm nervous about taking a west coast team traveling east to win outright, but I like the tease here since when the Chargers lose, they lose close. They only have one loss by more than seven points all season and that was losing by eight points at Denver. Detroit looked great last week against the Saints and now they play the struggling division rival Bears. The Bears looked better with the new QB, but it was against the 49ers. The Lions also tend to win games close with the only win of the season larger than the current eight point spread was last week against the Saints.
MIA(+2) - I told you last week to take the Cardinals because of the home/away split. Over their last seven, Arizona is 3-3-1. The three losses are their three road games. Their only road win all season was in their own time zone against the 49ers. They can't travel, they especially can't travel east for an early game, and Miami is going to look to right itself after the bad loss at Baltimore. I think we'll see the Dolphins that won six in a row and they'll start a new streak.
TB(-3) - The Bucs keep rolling, four wins in a row with the last three being the Chiefs, the Seahawks, and the Chargers. Given that New Orleans struggled against Detroit at home last week. I love the home team in this divisional game. Drew Brees has been turning the ball over more lately with 6 interceptions in his last four games after only 5 interceptions in his first eight. Tampa's defense has been getting tested and they've come up strong so far. I look for that to continue.
GB(+3) - It's easy to think Green Bay's last two games were easy playing the Eagles and the Texans, but they have the 13th and 5th ranked pass defenses in the league respectively(SEA is 9th). For Rodgers to complete 2/3s of his passes for 209 and 2 TDs last week in awful conditions makes me think he really has found his groove again. I'm also instantly suspicious of a line opening up this small when a team has a huge win at home on national TV and then goes on the road. Give me the Packers at home in December.
MIN/JAX u39 - We're looking at the 26th and 27th ranked scoring offenses going against each other with the 2nd and 4th ranked pass defenses. This game is going to be burning time on the ground and whoever breaks 20 points first wins.