NFL Week 15 Thursday Night Gambling Picks

My fellow gamblers, good evening. It continues to be a great year for me, but not just for me. The sportsbooks are taking an absolute beating this year. This is largely coming from two factors. The best teams (NE, DAL, and KC) are covering machines while the worst teams (SF, CLE, and STL) are not pulling off anything. Those two bets are the two that the public favors the most, and when they're winning, Vegas is losing. That's also the type of winning that is fleeting. If you've been paying attention to my picks, you've noticed I don't just go against the bad teams or with the good teams. So yes, in general this has been a great NFL season for the gamblers, but at the very least I'm trying to tell myself that's not the only reason I'm sitting with a 63% winrate.

​Season Record: Overall (47-27-2) Spread (28-13-2) Total (8-5) Teaser (11-9)
​​Last four weeks(15-7-1) - Four straight weeks picking at or above 60%

LA(+16) - Before you tell me that my record has gone to my head, hear me out. LA's getting their new coach. All accounts say the players hated the way Fisher was running the offense. They're going to be pumped and excited to prove it was the coach holding them back and not their own talent. Add in Seattle only having one win by more than 11 points in their last ten games and the fact that this is the division where the Rams beat the good teams straight up in inexplicable fashion. They're 4-1 against the Seahawks in their last five match ups. I'll take the massive number of points. I will recommend you wait as long as possible to take this number though. It opened at SEA(-14) and I think there's a good chance the public drives it up to (+17).