Week 11 NFL Weekend Gambling Picks

Back to my winning ways after skipping a couple Thursdays. The under hit easily, so I hope while other people were concerned about that final drive, you were sitting comfortably figuring out how you were going to celebrate another win. Well, I told you how I liked this weekend's games, so instead of the four picks I made each of the last two weeks, I've got six for you including both the Sunday and Monday night contests. So settle into your favorite chair and let's keep up the +60% win rate!

​Season Record: Overall (32-20-1) Spread (19-11-1) Total (8-2) Teaser (5-7)

WAS(-3) - This is more a bet against the Packers, but I still have been impressed with the Redskins only losing one game in the last seven. Mostly though the Packers just seem to be a mess right now. Their only win in the last five games was against the Bears, which barely counts. Rodgers accuracy is down and I still don't trust McCarthy's play calling. Last week playing at Tennessee they really got punched in the mouth and didn't recover. I don't see them doing any better in this road game.

MIA(-2) - Although this might look as a bet against a rookie QBs first start, a rookie QB that couldn't even qualify to dress for the first couple months of the season, it isn't. I'd still take Miami here even if Keenum was still under center. Miami has won four straight and last week's game beating the Chargers in San Diego impressed me enough to believe that the Dolphins will do just as well in this road game.

JAX(+7) - I know already that this is going to be the game that will cause me to sweat the entire game, but I'm still taking. I'm taking it because Detroit hasn't won a game by seven points or more this entire season. They also haven't lost a game by more than a touchdown all year. Detroit plays close games. I'll hope that the public loves betting against Jacksonville so much that this line will be a little high and therefor they have the value. But I will totally admit that this might be the game I lose this week because I try to get cute and think I'm so clever.

OAK(-6) - Oakland's only loss in their last seven games is against Kansas City who all of my readers should know now that I love. I think coming off the bye week will also negate any chance of a letdown game following that big division win against the Broncos. Oakland also knows how competitive the AFC West is, so I don't see them letting up on the gas against a Texan team that has one road win all season and that was against the Jaguars. Of their other three road games, the closest margin was them losing by 18.

DAL(-1.5)/ARI(+7.5) - The Dallas pick here is my apology to the Football Gods last week. That Pitt win was legit and being at home against the Ravens who are 2-4 in their last six? I like Dallas. Speaking of momentum, the Vikings have none of it. They've lost four in a row and even with a new kicker, their offense isn't good enough to beat anyone by more than a touchdown.

NYG(-1.5)/KC(-1) - New York has won four in a row against decent competition, but none have been by over 7 points. Last week against Tampa the Bears proved that Cutler coming back hasn't fixed their problems, so I'm willing to call the one win in their last five a fluke. Kansas City keeps rolling with their fifth win in a row last week at Carolina. Overall, betting on Kansas City makes me money, so I'm going to continue doing it. That being said, my teaser record is my obvious blemish, so please take these last two picks with a grain of salt.